Método Delphi para pronosticar la demanda


Summary

A systematic consultation led by experts aims to reach a consensus, particularly in estimating demand through structured methods. The process involves defining the topic, forecasting demand, preparing questionnaires for experts, and analyzing their feedback iteratively. By applying this method in phases, relevant insights can be gathered to accurately forecast demand, adding flexibility and reliability but requiring time and resources to implement effectively.


Systematic Consultation by Experts

A systematic consultation carried out by experts aims to obtain a consensus in various fields, such as estimating demand through iterative and structured methods.

Phases of the Method

The method is applied in phases where experts respond with their impressions, conclusions are analyzed and reapplied to obtain pertinent inspirations for needed conclusions.

Initial Steps

The initial steps include defining a topic, forecasting demand, anticipating duration, and preparing a questionnaire for experts, considering their experience, knowledge, and studies.

Expert Questionnaire

Experts are informed about their role, the method's duration, costs involved, and answer a questionnaire distributed to them. The answers are tabulated to derive relevant statistics for forecasting demand.

Iterative Process

The process is repeated as necessary until a good demand forecast is estimated. The method can be anonymous, and a consensus group technique may be utilized, adding flexibility and reliability but requiring time and resources.

Logo

Get your own AI Agent Today

Thousands of businesses worldwide are using Chaindesk Generative AI platform.
Don't get left behind - start building your own custom AI chatbot now!